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澳央行警惕白宫政策影响本国利率市场

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月18日 16:40:45
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(原)(标)(题)(:澳)(央)(行)(警)(惕)(白)(宫)(政)(策)(影)(响)(本)(国)(利)(率)(市)(场)(
本)(周)(二)(,澳)(央)(行)((RBA)宣)(布)(维)(持)(基)(准)(利)(率)(1.5%不)(变)(。至)(此)(,澳)(央)(行)(1.5%的)(基)(准)(利)(率)(自)(2016年)(8月)(起)(,已)(连)(续)(20个)(月)(维)(持)(不)(变)(,打)(破)(了)(RBA的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(稳)(定)(记)(录)(。打)(破)(了)(因)(为)(它)(引)(发)(人)(们)(对)(美)(元)(短)(期)(货)(币)(市)(场)(上)(涨)(...
ACBNews《澳)(华)(财)(经)(在)(线)(》4月)(4日)(讯)(本)(周)(二)(,澳)(央)(行)((RBA)宣)(布)(维)(持)(基)(准)(利)(率)(1.5%不)(变)(。至)(此)(,澳)(央)(行)(1.5%的)(基)(准)(利)(率)(自)(2016年)(8月)(起)(,已)(连)(续)(20个)(月)(维)(持)(不)(变)(,打)(破)(了)(RBA的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(稳)(定)(记)(录)(。打)(破)(了)(因)(为)(它)(引)(发)(人)(们)(对)(美)(元)(短)(期)(货)(币)(市)(场)(上)(涨)(的)(担)(忧)(,这)(些)(货)(币)(市)(场)(可)(能)(会)(抬)(高)(利)(率)(。
值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,向)(来)(具)(有)(政)(治)(敏)(锐)(性)(的)(央)(行)(行)(长)(PhilipLowe虽)(然)(没)(有)(直)(接)(点)(出)(美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(名)(字)(,但)(他)(婉)(转)(地)(批)(评)(了)(特)(朗)(普)(近)(期)(的)(政)(策)(加)(剧)(了)(股)(市)(动)(荡)(和)(信)(贷)(市)(场)(紧)(缩)(。
Lowe说)(:“股)(市)(的)(波)(动)(性)(已)(经)(从)(去)(年)(的)(非)(常)(低)(的)(水)(平)(上)(升)(,部)(分)(原)(因)(是)(担)(心)(美)(国)(国)(际)(贸)(易)(政)(策)(的)(方)(向)(……美)(元)(短)(期)(货)(币)(市)(场)(已)(经)(出)(现)(了)(一)(些)(紧)(缩)(的)(情)(况)(,美)(元)(短)(期)(利)(率)(因)(基)(准)(利)(率)(以)(外)(的)(原)(因)(而)(上)(涨)(。这)(外)(溢)(到)(包)(括)(澳)(大)(利)(亚)(在)(内)(的)(其)(他)(一)(些)(国)(家)(,这)(些)(国)(家)(的)(短)(期)(利)(率)(上)(走)(高)(。”
据)(报)(道)(,澳)(央)(行)(正)(在)(密)(切)(关)(注)(美)(国)(3个)(月)(LIBOR与)(隔)(夜)(指)(数)(掉)(期)(利)(率)((OIS)之)(间)(的)(利)(差)(。美)(国)(LIBOR-OIS利)(差)(已)(达)(到)(2008年)(金)(融)(危)(机)(以)(来)(的)(最)(高)(水)(平)(。
通)(常)(情)(况)(下)(,LIBOR-OIS利)(差)(上)(升)(是)(银)(行)(体)(系)(压)(力)(的)(一)(个)(标)(志)(,例)(如)(2008-2009年)(金)(融)(危)(机)(和)(2012年)(欧)(元)(区)(债)(务)(危)(机)(期)(间)(。固)(定)(收)(益)(交)(易)(商)(认)(为)(美)(国)(政)(府)(的)(短)(期)(借)(贷)(狂)(潮)(是)(这)(种)(状)(况)(的)(部)(分)(原)(因)(,其)(他)(原)(因)(还)(包)(括)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(减)(税)(计)(划)(促)(使)(科)(技)(和)(制)(药)(跨)(国)(公)(司)(减)(少)(购)(买)(债)(券)(并)(将)(2.6万)(亿)(美)(元)(的)(海)(外)(利)(润)(带)(回)(美)(国)(。
TripleTConsulting的)(固)(定)(收)(益)(分)(析)(师)(SeanKeane表)(示)(,澳)(央)(行)(关)(注)(这)(一)(问)(题)(的)(举)(动)(是)(“重)(大)(的)(”。
Keane在)(一)(份)(研)(究)(报)(告)(中)(写)(道)(:“不)(应)(对)(澳)(央)(行)(提)(及)(这)(一)(问)(题)(掉)(以)(轻)(心)(,它)(表)(明)(资)(金)(压)(力)(有)(可)(能)(更)(广)(泛)(地)(影)(响)(澳)(洲)(经)(济)(中)(的)(贷)(款)(和)(借)(款)(利)(率)(……行)(长)(下)(一)(次)(在)(公)(开)(场)(合)(出)(现)(肯)(定)(会)(被)(问)(到)(这)(一)(点)(。”
自)(2008年)(全)(球)(金)(融)(危)(机)(以)(来)(,澳)(洲)(的)(商)(业)(银)(行)(采)(取)(了)(更)(为)(谨)(慎)(的)(做)(法)(,利)(用)(长)(期)(融)(资)(市)(场)(获)(得)(三)(年)(期)(、五)(年)(期)(和)(十)(年)(期)(的)(低)(成)(本)(可)(靠)(资)(金)(。但)(澳)(央)(行)(仍)(然)(对)(短)(期)(市)(场)(融)(资)(成)(本)(的)(上)(涨)(表)(示)(警)(觉)(。
Suncorp金)(融)(集)(团)(高)(管)(DavidCarter最)(近)(称)(,他)(决)(定)(将)(房)(贷)(利)(率)(上)(调)(0.05个)(百)(分)(点)(,其)(中)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(是)(三)(月)(期)(银)(行)(票)(据)(掉)(期)(利)(率)(上)(涨)(。
对)(于)(短)(期)(货)(币)(市)(场)(来)(说)(,最)(大)(问)(题)(可)(能)(是)(,美)(国)(财)(政)(部)(正)(在)(发)(行)(便)(宜)(的)(短)(期)(债)(券)(,从)(而)(推)(高)(了)(短)(期)(债)(券)(收)(益)(率)(曲)(线)(。有)(评)(论)(人)(士)(认)(为)(,美)(财)(政)(部)(长)(姆)(努)(钦)(上)(世)(纪)(90年)(代)(在)(高)(盛)(任)(固)(定)(收)(益)(业)(务)(高)(级)(主)(管)(,在)(债)(务)(市)(场)(方)(面)(经)(验)(丰)(富)(。姆)(努)(钦)(正)(在)(利)(用)(较)(便)(宜)(的)(短)(期)(资)(金)(来)(支)(撑)(长)(期)(债)(务)(。本)(月)(16日)(至)(22日)(的)(华)(盛)(顿)(20国)(集)(团)(和)(国)(际)(货)(币)(基)(金)(组)(织)(的)(春)(季)(会)(议)(上)(,澳)(央)(行)(高)(层)(将)(有)(机)(会)(与)(姆)(努)(钦)(讨)(论)(相)(关)(经)(济)(问)(题)(。
西)(太)(银)(行)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(比)(尔)(·埃)(文)(斯)(表)(示)(,银)(行)(的)(短)(期)(利)(率)(上)(涨)(可)(能)(会)(部)(分)(转)(化)(为)(商)(业)(贷)(款)(利)(率)(上)(涨)(,而)(不)(会)(影)(响)(房)(贷)(利)(率)(。他)(预)(计)(澳)(央)(行)(在)(2020年)(前)(不)(会)(调)(整)(基)(准)(利)(率)(。
(郑)(重)(声)(明)(:ACBNews《澳)(华)(财)(经)(在)(线)(》对)(本)(文)(保)(留)(全)(部)(著)(作)(权)(限)(,未)(经)(许)(可)(授)(权)(,禁)(止)(第)(三)(方)(以)(任)(何)(形)(式)(转)(载)(,违)(者)(必)(究)(。图)(片)(来)(自)(网)(络)()返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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